UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 24, 2023 at 5pm UK

Vilniaus LFF stadionas

Zalgiris
0 - 4
Ferencvaros

(Ferencvaros win 7-0 on aggregate)

Gorobsov (62')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Traore (17', 83'), Varga (65' pen.), Pesic (75')
Varga (31')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Playoffs clash between FK Zalgiris and Ferencvaros.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
FK Zalgiris	Draw	Ferencvaros
30.07%	25.58%	44.35%

Both teams to score 53.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.06%

49.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.07%

71.93%

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.37%

30.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.13%

66.87%

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53%

22.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.99%

56.01%

Score Analysis

FK Zalgiris 30.07%

Ferencvaros 44.34%

Draw 25.58%

FK Zalgiris	Draw	Ferencvaros
1-0 @ 8.14% 2-1 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.07%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-2 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 4.52% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.21% Total : 44.34%