While Struga managed to hold on to a draw in the first leg, they were noticeably outplayed for the majority of the match, and they will likely be on the defensive for much of this match as well. At home, the hosts should put on a good showing, but we feel that the visitors will just edge past them by a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 77.16%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Struga had a probability of 7.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.19%) and 0-3 (11.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Struga win it was 1-0 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.

Result
Struga	Draw	FK Zalgiris
7.47% ( 0.01)	15.37% ( 0.01)	77.16% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 40.61% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.98% (

0.02)

43.02% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.58% (

0.02)

65.42% (

-0.02)

Struga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.77% (

0.06)

55.23% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.98% (

0.03)

88.02% (

-0.03)

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.7% (

9.3% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.61% (

31.38%

Score Analysis

Struga 7.47%

FK Zalgiris 77.14%

Draw 15.37%

Struga	Draw	FK Zalgiris
1-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 2-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.37% Total : 7.47%	1-1 @ 7.24% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 15.37%	0-2 @ 14.48% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.04% ( 0) 0-5 @ 3.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-6 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 77.14%