Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 12pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock2 - 0Aberdeen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kilmarnock 3-1 Livingston
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-3 PAOK
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Kilmarnock 2-1 Aberdeen
Aberdeen will head into this game with less rest than their opponents, and that could prove to be their downfall in what is likely going to be a close game. Kilmarnock have been strong at home throughout this campaign, and that is something that should help them pick up another three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
46.39% ( -0.21) | 24.82% ( 0.03) | 28.79% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.52% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
