Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Aberdeen2 - 3PAOK
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 St Johnstone
Sunday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Sunday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Atromitos
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Greek Superleague
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Greek Superleague
We said: Aberdeen 1-2 PAOK
Aberdeen will be sure to make life difficult in this fixture, and will create a strong performance as they aim to win their first Europa Conference League group match. However, PAOK have been strong so far in the competition, and they might end up having too much quality in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | PAOK |
32.17% ( 0.01) | 26.28% ( -0) | 41.54% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.48% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.94% ( 0.01) | 52.06% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.21% ( 0.01) | 73.78% ( -0) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.75% ( 0.01) | 30.25% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.58% ( 0.02) | 66.42% ( -0.01) |
PAOK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.23% ( -0) | 24.76% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.67% ( -0) | 59.33% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen 32.17%
PAOK 41.54%
Draw 26.28%
Aberdeen | Draw | PAOK |
1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.17% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.58% Total : 41.54% |
How you voted: Aberdeen vs PAOK
Aberdeen
24.0%Draw
18.0%PAOK
58.0%50
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
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1 | Liverpool | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 31 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Arsenal | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Aston Villa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Bournemouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Everton | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 9 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
20 | Southampton | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 4 |
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