Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Åråsen Stadion
Lillestrom1 - 3Antwerp
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sarpsborg 0-2 Lillestrom
Sunday, July 31 at 2.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, July 31 at 2.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 17 | 20 | 39 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 16 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 18 | 31 |
Last Game: Antwerp 1-0 Zulte
Sunday, July 31 at 8pm in Belgian Pro League
Sunday, July 31 at 8pm in Belgian Pro League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leuven | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Royal Antwerp | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Union SG | 2 | 1 | 4 |
We said: Lillestrom 1-2 Royal Antwerp
The teams head into the clash on an impressive run of results which will give them huge confidence that they can come out on top. We are anticipating a keenly-contested affair with goals at both ends and a narrow win for the away side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.03%) and 0-1 (4.9%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Royal Antwerp would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Royal Antwerp |
37.33% ( 0.03) | 21.78% ( -0.03) | 40.88% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 70.17% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.41% ( 0.14) | 29.59% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.3% ( 0.17) | 50.69% ( -0.18) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( 0.07) | 16.94% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.98% ( 0.13) | 47.01% ( -0.14) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% ( 0.06) | 15.51% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.57% ( 0.11) | 44.42% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Lillestrom 37.33%
Royal Antwerp 40.88%
Draw 21.78%
| Lillestrom | Draw | Royal Antwerp |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 37.33% | 1-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0)0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% 3-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.01% Total : 40.88% |
How you voted: Lillestrom vs Antwerp
Lillestrom
38.5%Draw
25.0%Royal Antwerp
36.5%52
