MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 19:35:19| >> :120:58061:58061:
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium, Wincham
Derry City

Magpies
2 - 0
Derry

Taylor (49'), Zuniga (82')
Storer (36'), Garcia (45+1'), Coleing (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Connolly (23')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Magpies and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dundalk 3-1 Magpies
Thursday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sligo 2-1 Derry
Thursday, July 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Magpies had a probability of 20.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Magpies win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
MagpiesDrawDerry City
20.13% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 23.31% (0.0010000000000012 0) 56.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.96% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.16% (0.031999999999996 0.03)48.84% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)70.94% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Magpies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.44% (0.048999999999999 0.05)38.56% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.69% (0.047000000000001 0.05)75.3% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)17.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77%47.23% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Magpies 20.13%
    Derry City 56.55%
    Draw 23.3%
MagpiesDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 6.27%
2-1 @ 5.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.99% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.68% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 20.13%
1-1 @ 11.08%
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 11.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.8%
0-3 @ 6.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.78%
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
0-5 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
1-5 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 56.55%

How you voted: Magpies vs Derry

Magpies
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Derry City
80.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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