Derry5 - 1Drogheda
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
for
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
for
We said: Derry City 2-0 Drogheda United
Drogheda have held Derry to draws in two of the last three league meetings between the two sides, but we are struggling to look past the hosts here. Drogheda have struggled on their travels this term, while Derry have the division's best home record, and we are expecting a routine two-goal success for the Red and Whites. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 74.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 7.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.04%) and 3-0 (11.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Drogheda United |
74.89% ( -0.04) | 17.36% ( 0.02) | 7.75% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 35.78% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
