MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 12:38:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 20
Jun 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium

Derry
2 - 0
Galway United

Patching (65'), Hoban (86')
Doherty (35'), O'Reilly (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dervin (43'), Esua (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Galway United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 3-0 Waterford
Monday, June 3 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier

Galway United

All competitions
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-1 Galway United
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Derry City 1-1 Galway United

 Galway may be sitting below their opponents in the league table, but they have already shown that they can compete with Derry in their previous two meetings this season. While we think a win may be a stretch too far, we believe that the visitors will do enough to take a point from Friday's away fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Galway United had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Galway United win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawGalway United
52.02% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 26.56% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 21.42% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 43.59% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.48% (0.068000000000005 0.07)59.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.13% (0.049999999999997 0.05)79.87% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)23.06% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (0.010999999999996 0.01)56.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Galway United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.65% (0.097000000000001 0.1)43.34% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.42% (0.079000000000001 0.08)79.58% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 52.01%
    Galway United 21.42%
    Draw 26.56%
Derry CityDrawGalway United
1-0 @ 14.66% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 52.01%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 9.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.42%

How you voted: Derry vs Galway United

Derry City
70.6%
Draw
29.4%
Galway United
0.0%
17
Head to Head
May 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Galway United
0-0
Derry
Mar 29, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Derry
0-1
Galway United

McMullan (43'), Connolly (78'), Maher (81')
Walsh (85')
McCormack (42')
rhs 2.0
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