MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 01:03:00| >> :120:53019:53019:
Molde logo
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
3 - 0
Varda SE

Hussain (63'), Fofana (80'), Linnes (82')
Breivik (62'), Hussain (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kravchenko (59'), Otvos (64'), Ilievski (90+3')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Molde and Kisvarda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Molde 3-0 Stromsgodset
Sunday, July 31 at 2.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Varda SE 1-0 Kairat
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawVarda SE
50.86% (0.089999999999996 0.09) 22.06% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 27.08% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 63.85% (0.188 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.24% (0.25899999999999 0.26)35.76% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.17% (0.286 0.29)57.83% (-0.286 -0.29)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (0.123 0.12)14.36% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.77% (0.236 0.24)42.23% (-0.238 -0.24)
Varda SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.111 0.11)25.44% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (0.152 0.15)60.27% (-0.154 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Molde 50.86%
    Varda SE 27.08%
    Draw 22.06%
MoldeDrawVarda SE
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 4.17% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.014 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 50.86%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.65% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.06%
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 27.08%

How you voted: Molde vs Varda SE

Molde
94.4%
Draw
5.6%
Varda SE
0.0%
18
rhs 2.0
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