Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 5pm UK
Aker Stadion
Molde4 - 1Elfsborg
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Molde and Elfsborg.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Molde 1-0 Haugesund
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Molde | 15 | 16 | 33 |
2 | Lillestrom | 15 | 15 | 33 |
3 | Viking FK | 16 | 9 | 28 |
Last Game: Hammarby 3-0 Elfsborg
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Sirius | 14 | -3 | 21 |
9 | Elfsborg | 14 | 8 | 20 |
10 | Mjallby AIF | 14 | 1 | 20 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
Result | ||
Molde | Draw | Elfsborg |
42.11% ( 0.03) | 22.63% ( -0.06) | 35.27% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 66.43% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.71% ( 0.31) | 34.29% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.81% ( 0.35) | 56.19% ( -0.35) |
Molde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.04% ( 0.14) | 16.96% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.94% ( 0.25) | 47.06% ( -0.25) |
Elfsborg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80% ( 0.16) | 20% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.82% ( 0.26) | 52.18% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Molde 42.11%
Elfsborg 35.27%
Draw 22.63%
Molde | Draw | Elfsborg |
2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.27% |
How you voted: Molde vs Elfsborg
Molde
75.0%Draw
18.8%Elfsborg
6.3%16
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-21 17:30:59
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1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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