MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 22:40:28| >> :60:382:382:
Olympiacos
Conference League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
Aston Villa logo

Olympiacos
2 - 0
Aston Villa

El Kaabi (10', 78')
Rodinei (30'), Podence (53'), Quini (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Luiz (45+5'), Iroegbunam (73'), Duran (89')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa fail to progress to the Europa Conference League final after losing 6-2 on aggregate to Olympiacos in the semi-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Olympiacos and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
OlympiacosDrawAston Villa
61.41% (0.256 0.26) 20.46% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 18.12% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 56.89% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03)39.26% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.41% (0.033999999999999 0.03)61.59% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (0.082999999999998 0.08)12.33% (-0.08 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.87% (0.172 0.17)38.13% (-0.168 -0.17)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.89% (-0.17500000000001 -0.18)35.11% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.14% (-0.184 -0.18)71.86% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 61.41%
    Aston Villa 18.12%
    Draw 20.46%
OlympiacosDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.48% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.93% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.62% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.63% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.46% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 61.41%
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.46%
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 18.12%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Aston Villa

Olympiacos
40.3%
Draw
13.8%
Aston Villa
45.9%
283
Head to Head
May 2, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Aston Villa
2-4
Olympiacos
Watkins (45+1'), Diaby (52')
Diaby (83')
El Kaabi (16', 29', 56'), Hezze (67')
Fortounis (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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