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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Bournemouth logo

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Bournemouth

Rogers (45+1'), Diaby (57'), Bailey (78')
Cash (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Solanke (31' pen.)
Smith (21'), Senesi (37'), Zabarnyi (55')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa come from behind to record a 3-1 victory over Bournemouth in Sunday afternoon's Premier League contest at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Aston Villa (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-2 Man Utd
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 59.75%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
59.75% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 19.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 20.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.45% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.38% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)32.61% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.72% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.28% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.25% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)10.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)34.72% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.9% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)64.78% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 59.75%
    Bournemouth 20.4%
    Draw 19.85%
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.75%
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 59.75%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 3.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 20.4%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Bournemouth

Aston Villa
76.6%
Draw
16.2%
Bournemouth
7.2%
167
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Bournemouth
2-2
Aston Villa
Semenyo (10'), Solanke (52')
Kluivert (12'), Semenyo (17'), Senesi (45+4'), Christie (54'), Kerkez (84')
Bailey (20'), Watkins (90')
Torres (29'), Zaniolo (43'), Duran (84')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Aston Villa
3-0
Bournemouth
Luiz (7'), Ramsey (80'), Buendia (89')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Bournemouth
2-0
Aston Villa
Lerma (2'), Moore (80')
Smith (39'), Pearson (45+2'), Billing (73')

Ings (23'), Ramsey (45+3'), Luiz (90+3')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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