Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa4 - 0Ajax
The Match
Match Report
Aston Villa record a 4-0 win over Ajax to reach the Europa Conference League quarter-finals.
Team News
Unai Emery makes four changes to his Aston Villa XI for Thursday's Europa Conference League fixture against Ajax.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aston Villa and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-4 Spurs
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in Premier League
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in Premier League
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Sittard
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.49%) and 3-2 (5.05%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Ajax |
44.42% ( 0.08) | 20.78% | 34.8% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 73.64% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.05% ( -0.03) | 24.95% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.15% ( -0.04) | 44.85% ( 0.03) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.58% ( 0.01) | 12.42% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.67% ( 0.03) | 38.33% ( -0.03) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.08% ( -0.05) | 15.91% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.84% ( -0.09) | 45.16% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 44.42%
Ajax 34.8%
Draw 20.78%
Aston Villa | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 44.42% | 1-1 @ 7.58% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.26% ( -0) 3-3 @ 3.09% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.78% | 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.63% 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.73% Total : 34.8% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Ajax
Aston Villa
79.5%Draw
8.6%Ajax
11.9%151
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 18:56:39
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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