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PSV
Europa Conference League | Last 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
FC Copenhagen

PSV
4 - 4
Copenhagen

Gakpo (21', 70'), Doan (50'), Zahavi (85')
Teze (75'), Gutierrez (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Bergmann Johannesson (6'), Biel (23', 78'), Lerager (43')
Kristansen (49'), Hojlund (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Copenhagen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Copenhagen 3-0 AaB
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
Next Game: Copenhagen vs. Horsens
Sunday, July 17 at 3pm in Danish Superliga

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 Copenhagen

PSV Eindhoven boast the stronger squad on paper, and, while the visitors will certainly pose a difficult test, we back Schmidt's side to pick up a first-leg victory on home turf. This could be a free-flowing encounter with two exciting sides squaring off, and the visitors will likely be left open if they come out as positively as usual in the Netherlands. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.48%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawCopenhagen
52.7%20.72%26.58%
Both teams to score 68.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.45%29.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.35%50.65%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.35%11.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.3%36.7%
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5%22.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94%56.06%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 52.7%
    Copenhagen 26.58%
    Draw 20.72%
PSV EindhovenDrawCopenhagen
2-1 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 6.48%
2-0 @ 6.06%
1-0 @ 5.64%
3-2 @ 4.83%
3-0 @ 4.34%
4-1 @ 3.48%
4-2 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 1.5%
4-3 @ 1.29%
5-2 @ 1.12%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 52.7%
1-1 @ 8.41%
2-2 @ 6.74%
0-0 @ 2.62%
3-3 @ 2.4%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-1 @ 3.91%
2-3 @ 3.35%
1-3 @ 3.12%
0-2 @ 2.92%
0-3 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.25%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 26.58%

How you voted: PSV vs Copenhagen

PSV Eindhoven
75.4%
Draw
16.9%
Copenhagen
7.7%
65
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