Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 20, 2022 at 3.45pm UK
Philips Stadium
PSV3 - 1Heerenveen
We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Heerenveen
Heerenveen have been abysmal in recent weeks and will do well to come away from Sunday's game undefeated against a PSV side who we fancy to emerge triumphant at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 70.15% | 17.38% | 12.47% |
| Both teams to score 53.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
