Europa League

Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 15, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
3 - 0
Rennes

(AC Milan win 5-3 on aggregate)

Loftus-Cheek (32', 47'), Leao (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nagida (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AC Milan and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Napoli
Sunday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rennes

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 11 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Not only have Rennes scored in all but one of their last 16 Europa League matches, but they also tend to travel well - a record of eight wins from 12 European away games speaks for itself. Milan may have half an eye on Sunday's Serie A clash with neighbours Monza, so the tie could remain finely poised ahead of next week's return leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Rennes
36.35% ( 0)	25.78% ( -0.01)	37.86% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.97% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.77% (

0.03)

49.22% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.71% (

0.03)

71.28% (

-0.03)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.72% (

0.02)

26.28% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.6% (

0.02)

61.39% (

-0.02)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57% (

0.02)

25.43% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75% (

0.03)

60.25% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 36.35%

Rennes 37.86%

Draw 25.77%

AC Milan	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 36.35%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77%	0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.86%