Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Jan 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 2
Bologna

Loftus-Cheek (45', 83')
Leao (22'), Calabria (36'), Adli (44'), Loftus-Cheek (45+2'), Terracciano (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zirkzee (29'), Orsolini (90+2' pen.)
Calafiori (2'), Ferguson (39'), Urbanski (57')
Motta (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, January 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Bologna
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Milan have won eight of 10 home games in Serie A so far, conceding just five goals in the process, and they should overcome a Bologna side that have started to stutter. The Rossoblu may be a little rusty, too, having had an unexpected two-week hiatus, so their former boss Stefano Pioli is set to see off the challenge of Thiago Motta. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Bologna
50.51% ( -0.01)	24.4% ( 0)	25.09% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.81% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.86% (

0.01)

48.14% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.7% (

0.01)

70.3% (

-0)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.93% (

19.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.32% (

-0)

50.68% (

0.01)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.5% (

0.02)

33.51% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.86% (

0.02)

70.14% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 50.5%

Bologna 25.09%

Draw 24.39%

AC Milan	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 50.5%	1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.09%