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Serie A
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Bologna logo

AC Milan
2 - 2
Bologna

Loftus-Cheek (45', 83')
Leao (22'), Calabria (36'), Adli (44'), Loftus-Cheek (45+2'), Terracciano (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zirkzee (29'), Orsolini (90+2' pen.)
Calafiori (2'), Ferguson (39'), Urbanski (57')
Motta (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, January 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Bologna

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Bologna
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Bologna

 Milan have won eight of 10 home games in Serie A so far, conceding just five goals in the process, and they should overcome a Bologna side that have started to stutter. The Rossoblu may be a little rusty, too, having had an unexpected two-week hiatus, so their former boss Stefano Pioli is set to see off the challenge of Thiago Motta. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawBologna
50.51% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 24.4% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.09% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.81% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (0.012 0.01)48.14% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7% (0.010000000000002 0.01)70.3% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.93% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.08% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.32% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)50.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5% (0.019999999999996 0.02)33.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86% (0.018999999999998 0.02)70.14% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 50.5%
    Bologna 25.09%
    Draw 24.39%
AC MilanDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 50.5%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 25.09%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Bologna

AC Milan
88.1%
Draw
8.7%
Bologna
3.2%
126
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Bologna
0-2
AC Milan

Aebischer (30'), Zirkzee (77')
Giroud (11'), Pulisic (21')
Hernandez (51'), Krunic (76')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Bologna
1-1
AC Milan
Sansone (1')
Pobega (40')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
AC Milan
2-0
Bologna
Leao (21'), Giroud (58')
Calabria (66'), Adli (86')

Schouten (56')
> Preview
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
0-0
Bologna
Dijks (41'), Orsolini (90+8')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Bologna
2-4
AC Milan
Ibrahimovic (49' og.), Barrow (52')
Arnautovic (34')
Soumaoro (20'), Soriano (58')
Leao (16'), Calabria (35'), Bennacer (84'), Ibrahimovic (90')
Tonali (45+1'), Calabria (61'), Saelemaekers (67')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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