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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Dacia Arena
Milan logo

Udinese
2 - 3
AC Milan

Samardzic (42'), Thauvin (62')
Kamara (45+1'), Ebosele (52'), Thauvin (55'), Walace (65'), Lucca (71'), Ferreira (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Loftus-Cheek (31'), Jovic (83'), Okafor (90+3')
Hernandez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Udinese
Sunday, January 14 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Roma
Sunday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-2 AC Milan

A disappointing cup exit aside, Milan have been in fine form since Christmas, and their away record suggests they can score at least once in Saturday's late kickoff. The Rossoneri average two goals per game on the road in Serie A, while Udinese can be brittle at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawAC Milan
30.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 44.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.53% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (0.010000000000005 0.01)46.55% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (0.0039999999999907 0)28.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (0.00099999999999767 0)64.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (0.007000000000005 0.01)21.08% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (0.012 0.01)53.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 30.85%
    AC Milan 44.27%
    Draw 24.88%
UdineseDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 7.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.85%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.25%
1-3 @ 4.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.27%

How you voted: Udinese vs AC Milan

Udinese
13.8%
Draw
11.7%
AC Milan
74.5%
94
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
AC Milan
0-1
Udinese

Krunic (18')
Pereyra (62' pen.)
Perez (54'), Kabasele (55')
Mar 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Udinese
3-1
AC Milan
Pereyra (9'), Beto (45+6'), Ehizibue (70')
Ibrahimovic (45+4' pen.)
Aug 13, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
AC Milan
4-2
Udinese
Hernandez (11' pen.), Rebic (15', 68'), Diaz (46')
Krunic (34')
Becao (2'), Masina (45+3')
Soppy (9'), Becao (34'), Perez (55'), Ebosele (90+1')
Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
Gameweek 27
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Leao (29')
Rebic (68'), Leao (90+4')
Udogie (66')
Perez (17'), Becao (49'), Molina (73'), Success (77')
Dec 11, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Udinese
1-1
AC Milan
Beto (17')
Perez (25'), Deulofeu (55')
Success (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (90+2')
Castillejo (87'), Florenzi (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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