Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | AC Milan |
30.85% ( -0) | 24.88% ( -0) | 44.27% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.53% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.45% ( 0.01) | 46.55% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.17% ( 0.01) | 68.83% ( -0.01) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.62% ( 0) | 28.38% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.88% ( 0) | 64.12% ( 0) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% ( 0.01) | 21.08% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.11% ( 0.01) | 53.89% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.85% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |