Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 15, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Şenol Güneş Spor Kompleksi

Trabzonspor
2 - 1
Red Star

Hamsik (16'), Trezeguet (68')
Djaniny (50'), Elmali (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nikolic (89')
Kangwa (6'), Sanogo (52'), Katai (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Trabzonspor and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Trabzonspor

Last Six:

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 3-2 Trabzonspor
Monday, September 12 at 7.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Fenerbahce	5	9	10
8	Trabzonspor	6	0	10
9	Kayserispor	6	0	9

Red Star Belgrade

Last Six:

Last Game: Red Star 0-1 Monaco
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League

Current League Standings

PTS

Top scorers

We said: Trabzonspor 1-1 Red Star Belgrade

We put these two sides on a relatively level playing field, and with Trabzonspor yet to hit the heights they displayed last season, we think the Serbian outfit have enough to leave with a share of the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.

Result
Trabzonspor	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
41.91% ( 0.02)	25.16% ( 0.03)	32.93% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 56.43% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.94% (

-0.17)

47.05% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.7% (

-0.16)

69.3% (

0.16)

Trabzonspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.61% (

-0.06)

22.39% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.11% (

-0.09)

55.89% (

0.09)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71% (

-0.12)

27.29% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27% (

-0.15)

62.73% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Trabzonspor 41.91%

Red Star Belgrade 32.93%

Draw 25.16%

Trabzonspor	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.91%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.93%