Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga2 - 4Qarabag
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Sunday, February 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Qarabag 2-1 Hacken
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Braga 3-0 Qarabag FK
With more quality throughout their squad and home advantage on their side, we back Braga to gain the advantage in Portugal on Thursday before travelling to Baku for the second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Qarabag FK |
58.21% ( 0) | 21.12% ( -0) | 20.66% |
| Both teams to score 59.12% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
