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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Famalicao logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Braga

Famalicao
1 - 2
Braga

Cadiz (62' pen.)
Otavio (27'), Chiquinho (64'), Cadiz (76'), Soares (90+13')
Assuncao (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Borja (73'), Djalo (90+11')
Carvalho (21'), Pizzi (26'), Moutinho (89'), Borja (90+12'), Ruiz (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-2 Famalicao
Saturday, January 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Braga
Sunday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Famalicao 1-2 Braga

 While form has not been great in 2024 for Braga, this is an excellent opportunity for them to return to winning ways, but defensive issues may mean it will be closer than they would prefer. Famalicao took advantage to beat an underwhelming Casa Pia side last weekend and will almost certainly find it tougher here despite familiar surroundings, and may well suffer a narrow defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Braga had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawBraga
37.85%24.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 37.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.33% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (0.020000000000003 0.02)43.64% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97% (0.018000000000001 0.02)66.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.91% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (0.012 0.01)56.67% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95% (0.012 0.01)23.05% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.13% (0.016999999999996 0.02)56.87% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 37.85%
    Braga 37.58%
    Draw 24.57%
FamalicaoDrawBraga
2-1 @ 8.41%
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.85%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.58%

How you voted: Famalicao vs Braga

Famalicao
17.8%
Draw
13.3%
Braga
68.9%
45
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 1
Braga
1-2
Famalicao
Horta (9')
Borja (83'), Zalazar (83'), Djalo (90+5'), Saatci (90+8')
De Oliveira Rodrigues (67'), Aranda Subiela (90+5')
Youssouf (7'), Assuncao (73'), Junior (81'), Cadiz (88')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 19
Braga
4-1
Famalicao
Mihaj (22' og.), Banza (79'), Bruma (90+1', 90+3')
Sanca (71')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 2
Famalicao
0-3
Braga

Batubinsika (25'), De La Fuente (90+3'), Sa (90+5')
Sequeira (13'), Banza (18', 79')
Silva (45+1')
> Preview
May 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 34
Famalicao
3-2
Braga
Banza (43', 89'), Rodrigues (80')
Pickel (12'), Pepe (38'), Banza (90')
Riccieli (90+6')
Horta (1'), Oliveira (19')
Elmusrati (12'), Carmo (35'), Tormena (59')
Carmo (90+6')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 17
Braga
2-2
Famalicao
Horta (13'), Gonzalez (90')
Elmusrati (9'), Oliveira (68')
Rodrigues (24')
Lima (31'), Rodrigues (81')
Pickel (48'), Banza (68'), Rodrigues (78'), Brazao (88')
> Preview
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Porto76011631318
3Benfica75111751216
4Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes741276113
5FamalicaoFamalicao733183512
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara6402108212
7Braga632184411
8MoreirenseMoreirense7223911-28
9Casa Pia722369-38
10Rio AveRio Ave621358-37
11AVS6213610-47
12Gil Vicente7142712-57
13Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
14AroucaArouca7205312-96
15BoavistaBoavista612337-45
16Estrela Amadora7124510-55
17Nacional7124412-85
18SC FarenseFarense6006213-110
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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