MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 02:06:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 31, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Chaves

Braga
1 - 1
Chaves

Zalazar (52')
Jorge (28'), Ruiz (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vitoria (64')
Ribeiro (27'), Guzzo (33'), Vitoria (70'), Correia (90+7'), Phete (90+10')
Vitoria (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Estoril (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Chaves 0-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Chaves

Braga will be full of confidence following their crowning as Taca da Liga champions, however they must warn against complacency as the division's bottom side come to town. Chaves have failed to win an away match since October 1, and we cannot envisage the Flavienses changing their fortunes on the road in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawChaves
64.46% (0.431 0.43) 20.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 15.52% (-0.426 -0.43)
Both teams to score 52.66% (-1.005 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94% (-0.828 -0.83)42.06% (0.826 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-0.835 -0.84)64.46% (0.835 0.84)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (-0.13 -0.13)12.32% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.87% (-0.271 -0.27)38.12% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (-1.058 -1.06)39.93% (1.056 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4% (-0.985 -0.98)76.59% (0.982 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Braga 64.45%
    Chaves 15.52%
    Draw 20.02%
BragaDrawChaves
2-0 @ 10.78% (0.29 0.29)
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.324 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.53% (0.166 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.91% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.94% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.62% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 64.45%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.02%
0-1 @ 4.52% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.52%

How you voted: Braga vs Chaves

Braga
90.5%
Draw
6.3%
Chaves
3.2%
63
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Chaves
2-4
Braga
Hernandez (43', 53')
Pinho (3'), Sanca (67')
Nogueira (80')
Bruma (16'), Horta (58'), Banza (81'), Pizzi (90+6')
Niakate (2'), Fonte (90+11')
Apr 2, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 26
Chaves
1-2
Braga
Juninho (42')
Medeiros (16'), Ruiz (59')
Oct 9, 2022 8.30pm
Feb 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 21
Braga
2-1
Chaves
Sousa (64'), Claudemir (80')
Silva (41'), Fransergio (70')
Martins (51')
Jefferson (33'), Filipe (73')
Aug 31, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 4
Chaves
0-1
Braga

Bressan (44'), Perdigao (45')
Santos (43')
Esgaio (21'), Palhinha (52'), Sequeira (86'), Sa (89'), Eduardo (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!