Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Kopavogsvollur
Breidablik1 - 0Zrinjski Mostar
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 6-2 Breidablik
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Breidablik 2-2 Zrinjski Mostar (Zrinjski Mostar to win 8-4 on aggregate)
Facing a four-goal deficit, Breidablik have little choice but to go on the offensive from the off in this game. However, that will only provide the visitors with extra space to put the tie out of their hosts' reach, and we expect Zrinjski to cruise over the line. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Breidablik had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Breidablik win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Breidablik | Draw | Zrinjski Mostar |
32.05% ( -1.71) | 25.84% ( 0.1) | 42.1% ( 1.62) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
