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Europa League
Lazio logo
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Porto

Lazio
2 - 1
Porto

Romagnoli (45+5'), Pedro (90+2')
Gigot (4'), Zaccagni (28'), Guendouzi (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Eustaquio (66')
Loader (15'), Omorodion (30'), Perez (39'), Djalo (45+1'), Gul (81'), Pepe (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lazio and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Cagliari
Monday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Porto

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Estoril
Sunday, November 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Lazio 2-1 Porto

 Both previous head-to-heads here at the Olimpico have ended in draws between Lazio and Porto, but the form of the home side will make them slight favourites. No team has beaten Lazio here since early March, and despite a great run of results of their own, this is arguably Porto's biggest challenge yet this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 36.42%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match.

Result
LazioDrawPorto
36.35% (-0.121 -0.12) 27.22% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 36.42% (0.138 0.14)
Both teams to score 50.21% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (0.061999999999998 0.06)55.26% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52% (0.051000000000002 0.05)76.48% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)29.16% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.9% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)65.1% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (0.116 0.12)29.12% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (0.139 0.14)65.05% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 36.35%
    Porto 36.41%
    Draw 27.22%
LazioDrawPorto
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.35%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 10.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.41%

How you voted: Lazio vs Porto

Lazio
68.5%
Draw
18.0%
Porto
13.5%
178
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2022 5.45pm
Qualifying Playoffs 2nd Leg
Lazio
2-2
Porto
Immobile (19'), Cataldi (90+5')
Radu (4'), Cataldi (76'), Patric (76'), Alberto (78')
Taremi (31' pen.), Uribe (68')
Sanusi (45+2'), Otavio (78')
> Preview
Feb 17, 2022 8pm
Qualifying Playoffs 1st Leg
Porto
2-1
Lazio
Martinez (37', 49')
Grujic (4'), Vieira (45+1'), Galeno (72'), Evanilson (73')
Zaccagni (23')
Milinkovic-Savic (39'), Zaccagni (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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