Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como1 - 5Lazio
FT(HT: 0-2)
Castellanos (28' pen., 81'), Pedro (31'), Patric (72'), Tchaouna (90+5')
Castellanos (35'), Vecino (45'), Tavares (57'), Isaksen (63')
Tavares (65')
Castellanos (35'), Vecino (45'), Tavares (57'), Isaksen (63')
Tavares (65')
We said: Como 1-2 Lazio
While Como have competed well in the top flight, Lazio are heading for Lombardy in peak form and boasting a goal-hungry attack. The Biancocelesti can therefore end their hosts' unbeaten run at Stadio Sinigaglia, keeping themselves in the pack behind Serie A leaders Napoli. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Como had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Lazio |
34.58% ( 0.22) | 27.27% ( 0.13) | 38.14% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 49.93% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
