Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg5 - 0Backa Topola
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Backa Topola 1-3 Freiburg
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Freiburg 3-0 Backa Topola
Streich should not need to go with a full-strength side to pick up three points here, but if matchday three's hat-trick hero Grifo starts, then another healthy scoreline could be in the offing. TSC may need a win to keep any realistic hope of progression alive, even as a third-place Europa Conference League entrant, but this task looks insurmountable for the Serbian runners-up. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 22.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Backa Topola |
54.94% ( -0.01) | 22.34% ( 0) | 22.72% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.89% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
