Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg5 - 0Backa Topola
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Backa Topola 1-3 Freiburg
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Freiburg 3-0 Backa Topola
Streich should not need to go with a full-strength side to pick up three points here, but if matchday three's hat-trick hero Grifo starts, then another healthy scoreline could be in the offing. TSC may need a win to keep any realistic hope of progression alive, even as a third-place Europa Conference League entrant, but this task looks insurmountable for the Serbian runners-up. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 22.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Backa Topola |
54.94% ( -0.01) | 22.34% ( 0) | 22.72% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.89% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.56% ( -0.01) | 41.44% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.16% ( -0.01) | 63.84% ( 0.01) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.99% ( -0.01) | 15.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.52% ( -0.01) | 43.48% ( 0.01) |
Backa Topola Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.12% ( -0) | 31.88% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% ( 0) | 68.32% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg 54.94%
Backa Topola 22.72%
Draw 22.33%
Freiburg | Draw | Backa Topola |
2-1 @ 9.84% 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 54.94% | 1-1 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 22.72% |
How you voted: Freiburg vs Backa Topola
Freiburg
89.1%Draw
9.1%Backa Topola
1.8%55
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 15:35:29
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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