Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
Olympiacos2 - 3Freiburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Olympiacos
Sunday, September 17 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Sunday, September 17 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Freiburg 2-4 Dortmund
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Olympiacos 1-1 Freiburg
Although Freiburg may be the marginal favourites on paper, there is little doubting that they would accept a share of the spoils from this contest. We expect Olympiacos to make most of the running, but the visitors may have enough quality at both ends to claim a draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Freiburg |
57.23% ( 0.04) | 21.85% ( 0.01) | 20.92% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
