MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 22:14:44| >> :600:330755:330755:
West Ham logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
London Stadium

West Ham
3 - 1
Backa Topola

Kudus (66', 70'), Soucek (82')
Kehrer (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stanic (47')
Kuveljic (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between West Ham United and Backa Topola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 1-3 Man City
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Backa Topola 1-4 Braga
Tuesday, August 15 at 7pm in Champions League

We said: West Ham United 4-0 Backa Topola

While West Ham will not be underestimating their opponents, this is as ideal start as they could have hoped for. Even if Moyes opts to make a number of alterations, the Hammers should have more than enough quality to breeze to victory on Thursday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawBacka Topola
49.09% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 24.3% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 26.61% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.5% (0.057000000000002 0.06)46.5% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (0.053999999999998 0.05)68.78% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.43% (0.014000000000003 0.01)50.57% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Backa Topola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (0.058999999999997 0.06)31.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (0.07 0.07)67.78% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 49.09%
    Backa Topola 26.61%
    Draw 24.29%
West Ham UnitedDrawBacka Topola
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 49.09%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 26.61%

How you voted: West Ham vs Backa Topola

West Ham United
85.9%
Draw
10.6%
Backa Topola
3.5%
85
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2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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