Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg5 - 0Olympiacos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Olympiacos 3-1 Panetolikos
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague
Goals
for
for
31
We said: Freiburg 2-1 Olympiacos
Following the five-goal thriller between these two teams in Greece two months ago, another entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action could be in store on Thursday. The onus is on Olympiacos to take the game to Freiburg and push them all the way in their quest to claim maximum points, but we believe that the hosts will ultimately do enough to secure a slender victory and book their place in the knockout rounds. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Olympiacos |
39.59% ( -0.01) | 27.06% ( -0.01) | 33.35% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.38% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
