MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 08:10:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 29, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Hoffenheim
3 - 4
Werder Bremen

Bulter (5', 8'), Hlozek (12')
Tohumcu (10'), Matarazzo (45+3'), Stach (78'), Drexler (90+3')
Nsoki (18')
FT(HT: 3-3)
Malatini (21'), Stage (26', 39', 49')
Kohn (22'), Stage (73'), Topp (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Midtjylland 1-1 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-5 Bayern
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Werder Bremen

It is difficult to ignore Hoffenheim's poor form in the Bundesliga, and given their sheer number of injury absentees, it would not be surprising if they started Sunday's match sluggishly. However, Werder Bremen's struggles in front of goal might mean they create few opportunities and this could allow the hosts the chance to get back into the game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
49.29% (1.685 1.69) 22.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.89% (-1.68 -1.68)
Both teams to score 61.77% (-1.278 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.21% (-1.14 -1.14)38.79% (1.143 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.9% (-1.214 -1.21)61.1% (1.216 1.22)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (0.18299999999999 0.18)16% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.68% (0.332 0.33)45.32% (-0.329 -0.33)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-1.681 -1.68)26.46% (1.684 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-2.293 -2.29)61.64% (2.296 2.3)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 49.29%
    Werder Bremen 27.89%
    Draw 22.81%
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.174 0.17)
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.457 0.46)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.459 0.46)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.141 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.34% (0.306 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.84% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.152 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 49.29%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.224 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.267 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 27.89%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen

Hoffenheim
39.1%
Draw
39.1%
Werder Bremen
21.9%
64
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Hoffenheim
2-1
Werder Bremen
Beier (8', 44')
Grillitsch (49'), Tohumcu (51'), Bulter (61'), Kaderabek (78')
Bulter (73')
Alvero (90+2')
Deman (85')
Oct 7, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Werder Bremen
2-3
Hoffenheim
Schmid (17'), Stage (90+1')
Keita (32'), Ducksch (45+1'), Weiser (56'), Rapp (58'), Jung (90+3')
Beier (8'), Promel (29'), Bulter (90+2')
Promel (69'), Akpoguma (72'), Baumann (90'), Vogt (90+5')
Apr 2, 2023 4.30pm
Oct 7, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Hoffenheim
1-2
Werder Bremen
Dabour (32')
Ducksch (18'), Fullkrug (87' pen.)
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 22
Hoffenheim
4-0
Werder Bremen
Bebou (26'), Baumgartner (44'), Dabour (49'), Rutter (90')
Rudy (16'), Kaderabek (51')

Toprak (8'), Friedl (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg113351323-1012
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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