MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 00:14:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 29, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Hoffenheim
3 - 4
Werder Bremen

Bulter (5', 8'), Hlozek (12')
Tohumcu (10'), Matarazzo (45+3'), Stach (78'), Drexler (90+3')
Nsoki (18')
FT(HT: 3-3)
Malatini (21'), Stage (26', 39', 49')
Kohn (22'), Stage (73'), Topp (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Midtjylland 1-1 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-5 Bayern
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Werder Bremen

It is difficult to ignore Hoffenheim's poor form in the Bundesliga, and given their sheer number of injury absentees, it would not be surprising if they started Sunday's match sluggishly. However, Werder Bremen's struggles in front of goal might mean they create few opportunities and this could allow the hosts the chance to get back into the game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
49.29% (1.685 1.69) 22.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.89% (-1.68 -1.68)
Both teams to score 61.77% (-1.278 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.21% (-1.14 -1.14)38.79% (1.143 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.9% (-1.214 -1.21)61.1% (1.216 1.22)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (0.18299999999999 0.18)16% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.68% (0.332 0.33)45.32% (-0.329 -0.33)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-1.681 -1.68)26.46% (1.684 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-2.293 -2.29)61.64% (2.296 2.3)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 49.29%
    Werder Bremen 27.89%
    Draw 22.81%
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.174 0.17)
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.457 0.46)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.459 0.46)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.141 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.34% (0.306 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.84% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.152 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 49.29%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.224 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.267 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 27.89%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen

Hoffenheim
39.1%
Draw
39.1%
Werder Bremen
21.9%
64
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Hoffenheim
2-1
Werder Bremen
Beier (8', 44')
Grillitsch (49'), Tohumcu (51'), Bulter (61'), Kaderabek (78')
Bulter (73')
Alvero (90+2')
Deman (85')
Oct 7, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Werder Bremen
2-3
Hoffenheim
Schmid (17'), Stage (90+1')
Keita (32'), Ducksch (45+1'), Weiser (56'), Rapp (58'), Jung (90+3')
Beier (8'), Promel (29'), Bulter (90+2')
Promel (69'), Akpoguma (72'), Baumann (90'), Vogt (90+5')
Apr 2, 2023 4.30pm
Oct 7, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Hoffenheim
1-2
Werder Bremen
Dabour (32')
Ducksch (18'), Fullkrug (87' pen.)
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 22
Hoffenheim
4-0
Werder Bremen
Bebou (26'), Baumgartner (44'), Dabour (49'), Rutter (90')
Rudy (16'), Kaderabek (51')

Toprak (8'), Friedl (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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