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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
49.29% ( 1.69) | 22.82% ( -0) | 27.89% ( -1.68) |
Both teams to score 61.77% ( -1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.21% ( -1.14) | 38.79% ( 1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.9% ( -1.21) | 61.1% ( 1.22) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84% ( 0.18) | 16% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.68% ( 0.33) | 45.32% ( -0.33) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.54% ( -1.68) | 26.46% ( 1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.36% ( -2.29) | 61.64% ( 2.3) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.66% Total : 49.29% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.24% Total : 27.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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