Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Union Berlin2 - 1Hoffenheim
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Union Berlin 2-0 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim's defensive record in the league has been concerning for some time, and it would be surprising if they managed to keep a clean sheet on Saturday. Additionally, Union Berlin have proven this season they are capable of winning without dominating possession, and they could prove dangerous during counter-attacks. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
45.78% ( 0.24) | 23.93% ( -0.15) | 30.28% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.48% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
