Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Red Star Stadium

Red Star
4 - 1
Ferencvaros

Kanga (27' pen., 60'), Mitrovic (35'), Katai (51')
Dragovic (21'), Sanogo (54'), Rodic (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Zachariassen (71')
Mmaee (73'), Knoester (79'), Vecsei (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Red Star Belgrade and Ferencvaros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star Belgrade

Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-1 Red Star
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Ferencvaros

Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Ferencvaros
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Red Star Belgrade 1-1 Ferencvaros

Despite their respective positions in the group, this match should be far more competitive than many will anticipate. Although the visitors are the team in form, Red Star are far stronger at their home ground, and we anticipate a competitive share of the spoils being played out in Serbia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.

Result
Red Star Belgrade	Draw	Ferencvaros
48.15% ( -0.26)	24.89% ( 0.05)	26.96% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 53.95% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.24% (

-0.06)

48.76% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.13% (

-0.05)

70.87% (

0.06)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71% (

-0.13)

20.28% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.35% (

-0.21)

52.64% (

0.22)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68% (

0.14)

32.32% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17% (

0.16)

68.83% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Red Star Belgrade 48.15%

Ferencvaros 26.96%

Draw 24.88%

Red Star Belgrade	Draw	Ferencvaros
1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 48.15%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 26.96%