Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest FC Pyunik win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.
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