We said: Ferencvaros 2-0 Shamrock Rovers
While Shamrock can claim to be in good form and be playing under less pressure on Thursday evening, the better quality is in Ferencvaros' ranks. Although we anticipate a competitive contest, the home side should come through with the victory, potentially with a clean sheet to boot.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.88%) and 3-1 (5.84%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
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