Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal3 - 2Panathinaikos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Osasuna
Sunday, November 26 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, November 26 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Aris 2-0 Panathinaikos
Sunday, November 26 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Sunday, November 26 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
We said: Villarreal 2-1 Panathinaikos
Villarreal have won each of their last eight Europa League home games, and we think that they will continue that impressive record by claiming a narrow win over a Panathinaikos side that have taken just a point from their two away group games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Panathinaikos |
38.34% ( 0.02) | 24.54% ( -0) | 37.12% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.46% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
