La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal2 - 3Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chiclana 0-5 Villarreal
Thursday, November 2 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Thursday, November 2 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Rubi 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
We said: Villarreal 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Five of the last nine La Liga meetings between these two teams have finished level, and we are expecting the points to be shared once again this weekend. Villarreal have shown improvement in recent weeks, but Athletic are a strong side, and the two teams could play out a low-scoring draw here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
37.44% ( 0.08) | 25.05% ( -0.01) | 37.5% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.59% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
