MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 01:51:32| >> :600:1924366:1924366:
Belarus national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht
Andorra national football team

Belarus
1 - 0
Andorra

Laptev (83')
Laptev (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rebes (45+1'), Martinez (70'), Vieira (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belarus and Andorra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Switzerland 3-3 Belarus
Sunday, October 15 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Switzerland81216
2Romania8916
3Israel8-112
4Kosovo8110
5Belarus8-76
6Andorra8-142
All competitions
Last Game: Romania 4-0 Andorra
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Switzerland81216
2Romania8916
3Israel8-112
4Kosovo8110
5Belarus8-76
6Andorra8-142

We said: Belarus 1-0 Andorra

These two European minnows are merely playing for pride on Saturday, but nevertheless will be motivated to claim a rare victory that can provide a much-needed morale boost heading into their final fixture of 2023 next week. Another closely-fought contest could be in store, but we believe that Belarus have the edge in the final third and will do just enough to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belarus in this match.

Result
BelarusDrawAndorra
55.88% (-2.417 -2.42) 23.61% (0.734 0.73) 20.5% (1.684 1.68)
Both teams to score 50.59% (0.447 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.38% (-0.782 -0.78)49.62% (0.782 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.36% (-0.706 -0.71)71.64% (0.70699999999999 0.71)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (-1.137 -1.14)17.59% (1.138 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.85% (-2.014 -2.01)48.15% (2.014 2.01)
Andorra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39% (1.371 1.37)38.61% (-1.369 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.64% (1.279 1.28)75.35% (-1.279 -1.28)
Score Analysis
    Belarus 55.88%
    Andorra 20.5%
    Draw 23.61%
BelarusDrawAndorra
1-0 @ 11.8% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.25% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.94% (-0.502 -0.5)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.253 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.326 -0.33)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.209 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 55.88%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.214 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.142 0.14)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.61%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.433 0.43)
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.356 0.36)
0-2 @ 3.08% (0.311 0.31)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.171 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 20.5%

How you voted: Belarus vs Andorra

Belarus
76.9%
Draw
17.3%
Andorra
5.8%
52
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Andorra
0-0
Belarus
Pujol (51'), Rebes (81')
Ebong (29'), Alos (30'), Palitsevich (48'), Lisakovich (57'), Morozov (76'), Ignatovich (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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