We said: Belarus 1-0 Andorra
These two European minnows are merely playing for pride on Saturday, but nevertheless will be motivated to claim a rare victory that can provide a much-needed morale boost heading into their final fixture of 2023 next week.
Another closely-fought contest could be in store, but we believe that Belarus have the edge in the final third and will do just enough to claim all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belarus in this match.