MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 22:49:26| >> :600:6060640:6060640:
Romania national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Arena Nationala
Andorra national football team

Romania
4 - 0
Andorra

Stanciu (23'), Hagi (28'), Marin (44' pen.), Coman (50')
Marin (9')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Vieira (9'), Sanchez (12'), San Nicolas (19'), Rubio (37'), Garcia (42'), Bernat (84')
San Nicolas (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Championship qualifying clash between Romania and Andorra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Belarus 0-0 Romania
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Switzerland61214
2Romania7513
3Israel6011
4Kosovo707
5Belarus7-75
6Andorra7-102
All competitions
Last Game: Andorra 0-3 Kosovo
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Switzerland61214
2Romania7513
3Israel6011
4Kosovo707
5Belarus7-75
6Andorra7-102

We said: Romania 4-0 Andorra

Romania have not been particularly successful in the attacking third in their Euro 2024 qualifying campaign so far, scoring nine goals in seven games, and their offensive weaknesses were also evident on Thursday against Belarus. However, the home match against one of Europe's minnows could be the ice breaker to crack the opponents' goal and claim a comprehensive victory in the battle for the top spot in Group I. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 78.82%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 6.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.16%) and 3-0 (12.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Romania in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Romania.

Result
RomaniaDrawAndorra
78.82% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 14.53% (0.019 0.02) 6.65% (0.022 0.02)
Both teams to score 39.17% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.61% (0.0049999999999955 0)42.39% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.21% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)64.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)8.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.93% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)30.07% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Andorra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.92% (0.061999999999998 0.06)57.08% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.92% (0.034000000000001 0.03)89.08% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Romania 78.81%
    Andorra 6.65%
    Draw 14.53%
RomaniaDrawAndorra
2-0 @ 14.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 12.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 12.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 4.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 3.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
6-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 78.81%
1-1 @ 6.82% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 5%
2-2 @ 2.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 14.53%
0-1 @ 2.8% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 6.65%

How you voted: Romania vs Andorra

Romania
82.5%
Draw
7.5%
Andorra
10.0%
40
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Andorra
0-2
Romania
Man (34'), Alibec (49')
rhs 2.0
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