Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Arena Nationala

Romania
4 - 0
Andorra

Stanciu (23'), Hagi (28'), Marin (44' pen.), Coman (50')
Marin (9')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Vieira (9'), Sanchez (12'), San Nicolas (19'), Rubio (37'), Garcia (42'), Bernat (84')
San Nicolas (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Championship qualifying clash between Romania and Andorra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions

Last Game: Belarus 0-0 Romania
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	6	12	14
2	Romania	7	5	13
3	Israel	6	0	11
4	Kosovo	7	0	7
5	Belarus	7	-7	5
6	Andorra	7	-10	2

Andorra

All competitions

Last Game: Andorra 0-3 Kosovo
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	6	12	14
2	Romania	7	5	13
3	Israel	6	0	11
4	Kosovo	7	0	7
5	Belarus	7	-7	5
6	Andorra	7	-10	2

Romania have not been particularly successful in the attacking third in their Euro 2024 qualifying campaign so far, scoring nine goals in seven games, and their offensive weaknesses were also evident on Thursday against Belarus. However, the home match against one of Europe's minnows could be the ice breaker to crack the opponents' goal and claim a comprehensive victory in the battle for the top spot in Group I. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 78.82%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 6.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.16%) and 3-0 (12.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Romania in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Romania.

Result
Romania	Draw	Andorra
78.82% ( -0.04)	14.53% ( 0.02)	6.65% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 39.17% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.61% (

42.39% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.21% (

0.01)

64.8% (

-0)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.25% (

-0.01)

8.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.93% (

-0.02)

30.07% (

0.02)

Andorra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.92% (

0.06)

57.08% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.92% (

0.03)

89.08% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Romania 78.81%

Andorra 6.65%

Draw 14.53%

Romania	Draw	Andorra
2-0 @ 14.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 78.81%	1-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5% 2-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 14.53%	0-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 6.65%