We said: Andorra 0-1 Kosovo
Kosovo have been struggling to score goals in Euro qualifying so far, and the task will not be made easier by Muriqi's suspension for Thursday's match.
Andorra are known for their robust defence, which makes them difficult to penetrate in the final third. Therefore, Kosovo will certainly have to step up in the offensive half of the field to break the home team's resistance.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.49%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.