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Bulgaria national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 5pm UK
 
Montenegro national football team

Bulgaria
0 - 1
Montenegro

FT(HT: 0-0)
Krstovic (70')
Savic (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Bulgaria and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-0 Bulgaria
Sunday, November 20 at 2pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Slovenia 1-0 Montenegro
Sunday, November 20 at 2pm in International Friendlies

We said: Bulgaria 2-0 Montenegro

Given that Bulgaria have scored eight goals and conceded once across three wins and a draw since Krstajic's arrival, we expect the hosts to secure a comfortable victory over Montenegro, who have managed to win just one of their last seven outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
BulgariaDrawMontenegro
38.32% (0.055 0.05) 25.14% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 36.54% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.25% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.31% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.4% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)68.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.028999999999996 0.03)23.85% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (0.042000000000002 0.04)58.04% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)24.82% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)59.4% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bulgaria 38.33%
    Montenegro 36.54%
    Draw 25.13%
BulgariaDrawMontenegro
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.33%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 5.92%
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.75% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 36.54%

How you voted: Bulgaria vs Montenegro

Bulgaria
68.4%
Draw
19.3%
Montenegro
12.3%
171
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2019 7.45pm
Group A
Montenegro
0-0
Bulgaria

Lagator (30'), Jankovic (95')

Pashov (20'), Malinov (90')
Mar 22, 2019 5pm
Group A
Bulgaria
1-1
Montenegro
Nedelev (82' pen.)
Popov (34'), Chochev (69')
Mugosa (50')
Beciraj (25'), Simic (25'), Jovovic (81'), Boljevic (89')
rhs 2.0
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