UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Montenegro
0 - 2
Finland

Tomasevic (9'), Vujacic (12'), Jovetic (18'), Vesovic (19'), Durdevic (67')
Tomasevic (17'), Radunovic (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Antman (47'), Kallman (53')
Kairinen (24'), Hostikka (83')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Montenegro and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-0 Montenegro
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Finland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Finland 1-1 Romania
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

We said: Montenegro 2-1 Finland

Given the contrasting pressure on the two nations, this game may come down to how Finland approach getting the result that they require. That said, we cannot ignore that Montenegro deserve to be regarded as favourites on home territory, and we feel that they will run out winners by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Finland had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Finland win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Montenegro	Draw	Finland
38.28% ( -0.04)	24.49% ( 0.02)	37.22% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 59.62% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.73% (

-0.07)

43.27% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.34% (

-0.07)

65.66% (

0.07)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

-0.05)

22.51% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.92% (

-0.07)

56.08% (

0.07)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.94% (

-0.02)

23.06% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.11% (

-0.03)

56.89% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Montenegro 38.28%

Finland 37.22%

Draw 24.49%

Montenegro	Draw	Finland
2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.28%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.49%	1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.22%