International Friendly

Nov 20, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Josy Barthel

Luxembourg
0 - 0
Bulgaria

Holtz (11'), Olesen (11'), Mahmutovic (19'), Sinani (22'), Thill (24'), Curci (36'), Barreiro (88'), Rodrigues (90')
Sinani (87')

Delev (23'), Hristov (34'), Antov (41'), Karabelyov (77'), Iliev (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Luxembourg and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Luxembourg 2-2 Hungary
Thursday, November 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	0	0	0
2	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Lithuania	0	0	0

Bulgaria

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Cyprus 0-2 Bulgaria
Wednesday, November 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

We said: Luxembourg 1-1 Bulgaria

Both sides will enter this match in relatively good form, and we are expecting a close match on Sunday afternoon. There is a lot more experience in the Luxembourg squad, but Bulgaria also have plenty of quality, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luxembourg	Draw	Bulgaria
37.55% ( 0.33)	27.67% ( 0.06)	34.78% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 48.75% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.96% (

-0.24)

57.04% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.07% (

-0.19)

77.92% (

0.19)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

0.08)

29.31% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.72% (

0.1)

65.28% (

-0.1)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.97% (

-0.36)

31.03% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.66% (

-0.43)

67.34% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Luxembourg 37.55%

Bulgaria 34.78%

Draw 27.66%

Luxembourg	Draw	Bulgaria
1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.55%	1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.66%	0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.78%