MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 08:05:57| >> :600:5662031:5662031:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Croatia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Education City Stadium
Turkey national football team

Croatia
0 - 1
Turkey


Brozovic (12'), Barisic (34'), Modric (88'), Petkovic (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yilmaz (30')
Yilmaz (15'), Cakir (69'), Yildirim (89'), Ayhan (90'), Akgun (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Croatia and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Croatia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Armenia 0-1 Croatia
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Croatia4810
2Turkey5210
3Armenia517
4Wales5-17
5Latvia5-100

Turkey

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Japan 4-2 Turkey
Tuesday, September 12 at 1.20pm in International Friendlies
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Croatia4810
2Turkey5210
3Armenia517
4Wales5-17
5Latvia5-100

We said: Croatia 2-1 Turkey

 Confirmed as co-hosts for the 2032 Euros this week, Turkey will face two more big games on the road to next year's finals, as Vincenzo Montella's first game is set to end in defeat. While Croatia can move clear at the top of Group D with yet another home win, their visitors could be embroiled in a three-way scramble for second spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
CroatiaDrawTurkey
40.57% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04) 25.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 34.05% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.01% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.26% (0.036999999999999 0.04)47.74% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07% (0.034000000000002 0.03)69.93% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)23.34% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)57.3% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (0.048999999999992 0.05)26.93% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (0.062999999999995 0.06)62.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Croatia 40.57%
    Turkey 34.05%
    Draw 25.37%
CroatiaDrawTurkey
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 40.57%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 34.05%

How you voted: Croatia vs Turkey

Croatia
76.4%
Draw
15.5%
Turkey
8.1%
161
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Turkey
0-2
Croatia
Kovacic (20', 45+4')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2020 5.45pm
Friendlies 1
Turkey
3-3
Croatia
Tosun (23' pen.), Turuc (41'), Under (58')
Kabak (38')
Budimir (32'), Pasalic (53'), Brekalo (56')
Perisic (86')
May 31, 2020 11pm
Friendlies 1
Croatia
P-P
Turkey
Sep 5, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Turkey
1-0
Croatia
Tosun (75')
Sep 5, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Croatia
1-1
Turkey
Rakitic (44' pen.)
Calhanoglu (45')
rhs 2.0
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