MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:00:14| >> :600:1906887:1906887:
Croatia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Wales national football team

Croatia
1 - 1
Wales

Kramaric (28')
Juranovic (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Broadhead (90+3')
Ampadu (25')

The Match

Match Report

Wales dramatically salvage a last-gasp 1-1 draw with Croatia in Saturday's Euro 2024 qualifier in Split.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Croatia and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Croatia 2-1 Morocco
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Wales 0-3 England
Tuesday, November 29 at 7pm in World Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1England377
2USA315
3Iran3-33
4Wales3-51

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Wales had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
CroatiaDrawWales
51.52% (-0.106 -0.11) 25.45% (0.0010000000000012 0) 23.03% (0.105 0.1)
Both teams to score 48.43% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85% (0.087999999999994 0.09)54.14% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (0.074999999999999 0.07)75.56% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)21.04% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.17% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)53.83% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.34% (0.151 0.15)38.66% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.6% (0.143 0.14)75.4% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Croatia 51.51%
    Wales 23.03%
    Draw 25.44%
CroatiaDrawWales
1-0 @ 12.67% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.88% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 51.51%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 7.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 23.03%

How you voted: Croatia vs Wales

Croatia
86.3%
Draw
7.2%
Wales
6.5%
153
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2019 7.45pm
Jun 8, 2019 2pm
Group E
Croatia
2-1
Wales
Lawrence (17' og.), Perisic (48')
Brekalo (28'), Jedvaj (50'), Lovren (54'), Vida (69'), Brozovic (92')
Brooks (77')
Bale (49')
Mar 26, 2013 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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19Southampton10118719-124
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