Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadyum Samsun
Turkey2 - 0Wales
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Latvia 2-3 Turkey
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
We said: Turkey 2-1 Wales
With Turkey's two victories coming on the road, Kuntz's men are due a home victory in qualifying, and they could nick maximum points against Wales, who have won one of their last six European Championship away qualifiers. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Wales had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Turkey | Draw | Wales |
43.93% ( -13.66) | 21.71% ( -0.87) | 34.36% ( 14.53) |
| Both teams to score 69.78% ( 16.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
