MX23RW : Thursday, April 3 18:37:02| >> :600:14858296:14858296:
Turkey national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Croatia national football team

Turkey
0 - 2
Croatia

FT(HT: 0-2)
Kovacic (20', 45+4')
Livakovic (62'), Gvardiol (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Turkey and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Armenia 1-2 Turkey
Saturday, March 25 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Wales
Saturday, March 25 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Turkey 2-2 Croatia

As both teams pose a goal threat and, in the circumstances, are equally motivated to go for the win, an open encounter could ensue. Croatia rarely taste defeat in any competition, given their nous and hard-won know-how, so even if they fall behind in Bursa, they can find a way back into the contest and tame a talented Turkey side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
TurkeyDrawCroatia
42.35% (1.679 1.68) 26.22% (-0.349 -0.35) 31.43% (-1.324 -1.32)
Both teams to score 52.42% (0.652 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48% (1.048 1.05)52.01% (-1.041 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.26% (0.899 0.9)73.74% (-0.892 -0.89)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (1.338 1.34)24.33% (-1.33 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.28% (1.851 1.85)58.72% (-1.844 -1.84)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.28% (-0.36399999999999 -0.36)30.72% (0.372 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (-0.434 -0.43)66.98% (0.441 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 42.35%
    Croatia 31.43%
    Draw 26.21%
TurkeyDrawCroatia
1-0 @ 10.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.222 0.22)
2-0 @ 7.47% (0.262 0.26)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.258 0.26)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.251 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.129 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.143 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 42.35%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.314 -0.31)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.82% (-0.466 -0.47)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.331 -0.33)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.43%

How you voted: Turkey vs Croatia

Turkey
26.8%
Draw
20.7%
Croatia
52.6%
213
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2020 5.45pm
Friendlies 1
Turkey
3-3
Croatia
Tosun (23' pen.), Turuc (41'), Under (58')
Kabak (38')
Budimir (32'), Pasalic (53'), Brekalo (56')
Perisic (86')
May 31, 2020 11pm
Sep 5, 2017 7.45pm
Group I
Turkey
1-0
Croatia
Tosun (75')
Tosun (9'), Calhanoglu (39')

Kalinic (45'), Perisic (66'), Badelj (91'), Brozovic (93')
Sep 5, 2016 7.45pm
Group I
Croatia
1-1
Turkey
Rakitic (44' pen.)
Calhanoglu (45')
Tufan (92'), Sahan (94')
Jun 12, 2016 2pm
Group D
Turkey
0-1
Croatia

Tosun (31'), Balta (48'), Sen (91')
Modric (41')
Strinic (80')
rhs 2.0
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