MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 16:42:47| >> :600:5693041:5693041:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Armenia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 11, 2023 at 5pm UK
Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
Croatia national football team

Armenia
0 - 1
Croatia

FT(HT: 0-1)
Kramaric (13')
Gvardiol (21'), Stanisic (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Armenia and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Turkey 1-1 Armenia
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey5210
2Croatia377
3Armenia427
4Wales4-34
5Latvia4-80

Croatia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Croatia 5-0 Latvia
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey5210
2Croatia377
3Armenia427
4Wales4-34
5Latvia4-80

We said: Armenia 0-1 Croatia

 Armenia have looked very impressive in Euro 2024 qualification, punching above their weight to pick up positive results against Wales and Turkey, so they are likely to put up a real fight on Monday night. However, Croatia should have the quality to eke out a narrow victory, which would move them to the top of Group D. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 15.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for an Armenia win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Croatia in this match.

Result
ArmeniaDrawCroatia
15.81% (0.267 0.27) 21% (0.17 0.17) 63.19% (-0.442 -0.44)
Both teams to score 50.06% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14% (-0.235 -0.23)45.86% (0.23 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83% (-0.223 -0.22)68.17% (0.21900000000001 0.22)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.12% (0.212 0.21)41.87% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.67% (0.185 0.18)78.32% (-0.19 -0.19)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (-0.211 -0.21)13.87% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.73% (-0.412 -0.41)41.27% (0.406 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Armenia 15.81%
    Croatia 63.18%
    Draw 21%
ArmeniaDrawCroatia
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.079 0.08)
2-1 @ 4.35% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.2% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.26% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 15.81%
1-1 @ 9.99% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21%
0-1 @ 11.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 11.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.46% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 6.5% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.69% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-4 @ 3.21% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.46% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.27% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 63.18%

How you voted: Armenia vs Croatia

Armenia
11.9%
Draw
17.5%
Croatia
70.6%
143
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2021 5pm
Friendlies 1
Croatia
1-1
Armenia
Perisic (24')
Rebic (53')
Angulo (72')
Terteryan (39')
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