Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 5pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Estonia0 - 2Azerbaijan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belgium 5-0 Estonia
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 5 | 12 | 13 |
| 2 | Austria | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Sweden | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 4 | -9 | 1 |
| 5 | Estonia | 5 | -14 | 1 |
Last Game: Azerbaijan 2-1 Jordan
Tuesday, September 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 5 | 12 | 13 |
| 2 | Austria | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Sweden | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 4 | -9 | 1 |
| 5 | Estonia | 5 | -14 | 1 |
We said: Estonia 1-2 Azerbaijan
A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched nations could be on the cards on Friday, but considering Estonia's recent troubles in defence and Azerbaijan's solid performances against Belgium and Jordan last time out, we believe that the visitors will do enough to claim a narrow victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Azerbaijan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estonia | Draw | Azerbaijan |
28.36% ( 0.3) | 26.04% ( -0.15) | 45.6% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.35% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.36% ( 0.77) | 52.64% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.71% ( 0.66) | 74.29% ( -0.66) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.72% ( 0.65) | 33.28% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.1% ( 0.7) | 69.9% ( -0.7) |
| Azerbaijan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% ( 0.26) | 23.03% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.15% ( 0.38) | 56.85% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
Estonia 28.36%
Azerbaijan 45.59%
Draw 26.04%
| Estonia | Draw | Azerbaijan |
| 1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.36% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.59% |
How you voted: Estonia vs Azerbaijan
Estonia
21.1%Draw
27.4%Azerbaijan
51.6%95
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2023 5pm
