Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Estonia0 - 3Belgium
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-1 Estonia
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Sweden | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Estonia | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 5 | Azerbaijan | 3 | -8 | 1 |
We said: Estonia 1-3 Belgium
Both teams play offensive 3-5-2 formations, which has helped create very open matches when these two teams have met in recent years. However, despite missing Kevin De Bruyne through injury, Belgium clearly possess far more individual quality and they should comfortably win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Estonia win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estonia | Draw | Belgium |
22.6% ( -21.33) | 26.85% ( 5.14) | 50.56% ( 16.19) |
| Both teams to score 44.19% ( -25.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.54% ( -29.62) | 59.46% ( 29.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.18% ( -28.83) | 79.82% ( 28.83) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.91% ( -27.59) | 42.1% ( 27.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.48% ( -36.02) | 78.52% ( 36.03) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% ( -5.3) | 23.69% ( 5.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.2% ( -8.28) | 57.8% ( 8.28) |
| Score Analysis |
Estonia 22.6%
Belgium 50.55%
Draw 26.84%
| Estonia | Draw | Belgium |
| 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 3.48) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( -3.04)2-0 @ 3.73% ( -1.24)3-1 @ 1.55% ( -3.87)3-2 @ 1.12% ( -3.47)3-0 @ 1.08% ( -2.12)Other @ 1.12% Total : 22.6% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 3.7) 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 7.31)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -3.26)Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 14.36% ( 9.85) 0-2 @ 10.34% ( 6.52)1-2 @ 8.95% ( 1.57)0-3 @ 4.97% ( 2.81)1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -2.17)0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.87)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.45% Total : 50.55% |
How you voted: Estonia vs Belgium
Estonia
12.0%Draw
15.7%Belgium
72.3%83
