Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 9, 2023 at 2pm UK

Dalga Arena

Azerbaijan
0 - 1
Belgium

Seydayev (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Carrasco (38')
Doku (90+2'), Batshuayi (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Azerbaijan and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-1 Estonia
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Austria	4	6	10
2	Belgium	3	6	7
3	Sweden	3	0	3
4	Estonia	3	-4	1
5	Azerbaijan	3	-8	1

Belgium

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Estonia 0-3 Belgium
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Austria	4	6	10
2	Belgium	3	6	7
3	Sweden	3	0	3
4	Estonia	3	-4	1
5	Azerbaijan	3	-8	1

We said: Azerbaijan 0-2 Belgium

A huge gulf in class divides these sides, and Belgium will expect to make their supremacy pay. Azerbaijan's heavy losses have come away from home, though, so it may be a narrower margin that separates them than many expect. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.

Result
Azerbaijan	Draw	Belgium
24.65% ( 3.56)	26.93% ( 1.58)	48.41% ( -5.14)

Both teams to score 45.96% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.78% (

-2.58)

58.22% (

2.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.14% (

-2.07)

78.86% (

2.07)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.58% (

2.01)

39.42% (

-2.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.88% (

1.82)

76.12% (

-1.82)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.87% (

-3.33)

24.13% (

3.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.56% (

-4.99)

58.44% (

4.99)

Score Analysis

Azerbaijan 24.65%

Belgium 48.41%

Draw 26.93%

Azerbaijan	Draw	Belgium
1-0 @ 8.86% ( 1.26) 2-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.61) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.78) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.3) Other @ 1.43% Total : 24.65%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.66) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.9) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 13.52% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.61% ( -1.01) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.41) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( -1.01) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.66) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.57) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.42) Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.41%